The BJP-led alliance comprises the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), Asom Gana Parishad (AGP), and the Bodoland People’s Front (BPF).
The Congress-led Asom Sonmilito Morcha includes Congress, AIUDF, CPI(M), CPI, CPI(ML) Liberation, Anchalik Gana Morcha, and the Rashtriya Janata Dal (RJD).
In terms of vote share, the BJP-led alliance is estimated at 50% ± 3%, showcasing widespread support across various segments.
Achieving over 50% in a multi-faceted contest would mark a significant milestone, highlighting the magnitude of the mandate. The Congress-led alliance is projected at 38% ± 3%, while others are estimated to account for 12% ± 3%.
Other polling agencies reflect a similar trend. VoteVibe for CNN-News18, JVC, and Chanakya Strategies have all indicated a strong NDA majority, with seat estimates fluctuating between 88 and 101 seats across different organizations.
VoteVibe estimates the NDA at 90–100 seats, JVC at 88–101, and Chanakya Strategies at 88–98 — all well above the majority mark. The INDIA bloc is anticipated to secure between 22 and 33 seats, while the AIUDF is projected to win no more than 0–3 seats.
Also read: Assam Exit Polls 2026: NDA expected to win 88–101 seats across agencies
Interestingly, VoteVibe also suggests that the BJP alone could clinch between 72 and 78 seats, underscoring the depth of the ruling party’s influence.
The official election results will be announced on May 4. Exit polls are derived from post-voting surveys and may not always precisely reflect the final outcome.
