| Party | Vote Share (2026F) | Seats (2026F) |
|---|---|---|
| AIADMK+ | 27% ± 3% | 45 ± 11 |
| DMK+ | 39% ± 3% | 125 ± 11 |
| TVK | 30% ± 3% | 63 ± 11 |
| Others | 4% ± 3% | 1 ± 1 |
Vote share predictions indicate 39% (±3%) for DMK+, 30% (±3%) for TVK, and 27% (±3%) for AIADMK+, reflecting a solid advantage for the ruling coalition.
The poll also reveals DMK+ leading among major caste demographics, including BC, MBC, SC, Muslim, and Christian voters, indicating widespread electoral backing.
Voting for all 234 Assembly seats in Tamil Nadu wrapped up on April 23 with an unprecedented voter turnout exceeding 85%, the highest since independence, according to the Election Commission of India.
This uptick in voter engagement creates a backdrop for a closely monitored contest, with vote counting set for May 4.
The participation rate markedly surpasses past records, including the 78% noted in 2011, reversing a decline observed in the 2016 and 2021 elections, reflecting rekindled voter enthusiasm across the state.
Also Read: AIADMK+ slightly ahead in TN exit poll, DMK close behind; Vijay’s TVK appears as a potential disruptor
First Published: Apr 30, 2026 7:40 PM IST