2026 Exit Poll Trends by State: Insights for Kerala, West Bengal, Tamil Nadu, Assam, and Puducherry

2026 Exit Poll Trends by State: Insights for Kerala, West Bengal, Tamil Nadu, Assam, and Puducherry

Poll of Polls 2026: The latest exit poll trends for Assembly elections present a varied landscape across Kerala, West Bengal, Tamil Nadu, Assam, and Puducherry, featuring both tight competitions and decisive leads in several key regions.

By CNBCTV18.com April 30, 2026, 12:00:13 AM IST (Published)

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The 2026 poll of polls provides an early glimpse into the electoral landscape in key states such as Kerala, West Bengal, Tamil Nadu, Assam, and Puducherry. The forecasts from various organizations differ, with some regions experiencing tight races and others showcasing more definitive outcomes. Here’s a summary of exit polls for each state:

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Kerala: UDF Holds a Slight Edge in a Close Battle | In the context of Kerala, the poll of polls indicates a modest lead for the UDF in the 140-member Assembly. Predictions from various agencies suggest the UDF could secure between 71–81 seats, whereas the LDF is estimated at 55–65 seats. The NDA is projected to have minimal representation with only a handful of seats.

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West Bengal: Competitive Landscape with Divergent Predictions | In West Bengal, the race appears to be fiercely competitive. Aggregated estimates indicate the BJP is projected between 137–157 seats, while the TMC is forecasted at 131–151 seats. Despite showing a slight advantage to the BJP, discrepancies in agency forecasts render this one of the most unpredictable states.

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Tamil Nadu: DMK+ Leads, Yet Disparities Persist | In Tamil Nadu, the general trend favors the DMK+ coalition within the 234-seat Assembly. The poll of polls suggests DMK+ could achieve between 122–134 seats, surpassing ADMK+ which is estimated at 80–88 seats. However, variances in agency assessments hint at a potentially tighter race than the averages suggest.

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Assam: BJP+ Positioned Favorably | In Assam, the poll of polls indicates a strong lead for the BJP+ alliance. Most forecasts estimate the BJP+ could secure between 88 and 98 seats, while the INC+ is expected to lag at 25–35 seats. This trend appears largely consistent across different agencies.

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Puducherry: BJP+ Maintains Lead in Smaller Assembly | In Puducherry, the poll of polls shows a favorable position for BJP+ in the 30-seat Assembly. Estimates suggest BJP+ could capture around 16–20 seats, while INC+ might secure 6–12 seats. Other parties are anticipated to win very few seats.

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Summary | The findings from the poll of polls indicate strong leads for the BJP+ in Assam and Puducherry, a consistent advantage for DMK+ in Tamil Nadu, and closely contested races in both Kerala and West Bengal. Among these states, West Bengal stands out as the most challenging to predict due to significant variances in projections.

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